// transcript — 1476 segments
0:00 <Untitled Chapter 1>
0:01 so what I would like to do to kick this off is talk about what I think a
0:07 so-called perfect the bootstrap startup is and what are those attributes what
0:11 does it mean in terms of making money in terms of going to market in terms of
0:15 acquiring customers and why could because I think most companies don't
0:20 work and just like heat and said in the in the video they're most companies for
0:24 one don't build something people want but I think it's even worse than that I
0:27 think they also maybe are building something people want but not in a
0:30 structure that lends itself to bootstrapping that is not in a structure
0:35 that lends itself for low money low time and all that kind of stuff either and I
0:39 feel like a lot of companies fail just because it's not a good fit for the
0:43 resources and constraints and advantages that you have having a small company and
0:46 as Rob alluded to I've built for companies by bootstrapping and all of
0:50 them made more than a million dollars all of them are a year all of them are
0:54 profitable two of them were sold even my current one WP engine was the same and
0:58 then I went and joined the other side and I raised some money and we're trying
1:03 to swing for the fences now which is a whole new challenge but I did bootstrap
1:06 it to this point before raising money so it still counts as far as this is
1:12 concerned so this is how I think about um what it means to do this and by the
1:16 way we were talking to heatin last night he says I don't like bootstrap I don't
1:19 even know what that means anymore it sucks and I don't like it like it like
1:22 someone said in the video I don't like lifestyle business because
1:27 there's just pejorative implied there and I agree with that and so Heaton
1:31 suggests that see now I'm stealing Heaton's thunder and he's gonna go talk
1:33 tomorrow and not have anything to say but oh good he seemed happy though but
1:40 Eaton said let's call it self-funded I said yes that's good self-funded and
1:43 maybe that means little friends and family maybe that means a little bit a
1:47 little debt but not the kind that you're giving up any significant amount of your
1:51 company for self-funded so let's call it that I think self-funded anyway so this
1:54 is what I think of as a self-funded company I think the right mind frame is
1:59 the frame of mine is to say that it is a cash machine meaning a predictable way
2:04 in which you're going to make profit every month and this is what I mean how
2:08 many people in here currently have a business where if you did nothing next
2:13 month you stayed in Vegas and went crazy business would make ten thousand dollars
2:18 in revenue next month for sure like without any doubt at all how many oh not
2:23 bad but still not more than 20% I'd say and that's that's kind of the point I
2:27 mean look at this audience of folks who can afford a fairly expensive ticket and
2:31 all this to come out here and still it's almost impossible to hit what I just
2:34 said which is barely really enough to just quit your job which is maybe the
2:38 first kind of a goal you might have in a self-funded startup just people to focus
2:41 on it full-time there's probably a biggest goal and especially if you have
2:46 a family or something like that where um it's it's especially you know it's
2:51 especially interesting to you to to make this company work so this is this is
2:55 what I want to talk about building for the whole rest of the time something
2:59 that predictably and repeatedly always gives you $10,000 a month per founder in
3:04 revenue and hopefully more like 20 30 40 that sort of thing and how I see
3:09 building that and to be fair um this is exactly the constraints I put on myself
3:14 with WP engine and even the company that I didn't do before that because I
3:17 couldn't find a way to make these constraints fit and decided therefore
3:19 it's not a good way to self fund something so first I want to talk about
3:24 revenue models and this might be pretty obvious but um my third company smart
3:30 bear was what you might call one-off software you bought it you downloaded it
3:33 and you don't really come back maybe there's upgrades maybe for
3:37 enterprise plans you get 20% per year if you really hackle them and they really
3:40 care about the features you added but more or less every time the month turns
3:45 over you have to start from scratch for revenue this is of course the opposite
3:49 of a cash machine as far as I'm concerned and I can tell you that smart
3:53 bear even after having millions in revenue and therefore probably should
3:57 have felt pretty comfortable each month that we'd be ok I literally would wake
4:01 up in the middle of the night wake up in the night panicked wondering how am I
4:06 gonna cover payroll in the this month and I felt that way when was just me for
4:10 two years and I felt that way 7 years later when was a team of 12 and all that
4:13 I still felt the same way it never got better ever ever and it's a horrible way
4:18 to live I had it's horrible so I don't like that so of course recruiting
4:22 revenue we don't have to gonna have to compete you over the head about that no
4:25 kidding that's what it means to get much to know I'm going to have money
4:29 is that it's recurrent but I think the details around this are not obvious I
4:33 want to get into what specifically I mean because you probably have heard of
4:39 this thing that Kevin Kelly first the thought of called a thousand fans and he
4:44 said you know all these artists especially especially musicians who want
4:50 to get away from the labels they they could get away with labels if they could
4:54 just get a thousand rabid fans to to buy like one or two hundred dollars a year
4:59 worth of merch and going to concerts and stuff like that and that's all they need
5:03 and they wouldn't need labels or anything it because what they really
5:07 want I mean sure they want lots of money that'd be great but considering right
5:11 now they are have to have a full-time job and barely can do the band versus
5:15 okay I don't have ten million dollars in the bank but I'm doing what I love which
5:18 is just playing music and traveling the country that's an amazing shift and all
5:22 you need is a thousand rabid fans this isn't this is a really romantic
5:26 fantastic concept and so Seth Godin got ahold of it and he's like that is and so
5:29 he posted it and then it got really popular and that's where everyone heard
5:33 about it more or less the problem is that a couple of weeks later kevin kelly
5:39 redacted the whole idea he said you know i was inundated with information from
5:43 actual artists and they said this is completely not true and first of all you
5:48 can't even get people to give you 100 200 dollars a year it's hard you can't
5:52 get a thousand rabid fans you can get like 30 or 50 of your you know your
5:55 friends and family and stuff but actually a thousand fans super hard to
6:00 get a thousand people at any price point is really hard how many people in here
6:04 have over a thousand customers ooh not bad how many of them give you $10 a
6:12 month or more $100 a month or more right it's really hard to get 10,000 of
6:16 anything and really hard to get you know a you know a decent amount of money and
6:19 the other thing was even if they did have the the you know one or two hundred
6:23 dollars a year times a thousand so to you know say call it $200,000 not enough
6:28 to cover all the expenses for traveling around doing paying a couple of band
6:31 members and stuff it actually isn't enough so unfortunately Seth it was it
6:36 was not in his interest to redact his own thing so he didn't Seth didn't say a
6:39 thing and so it was stuck in everyone's mind that thousand rabid fans is a good idea and
6:43 no one read the thing that said actually it's not so I'm gonna propose a
6:49 different thing instead that let's do one hundred and fifty fans or really
6:52 hundred fifty customers right and you can do one hundred fifty for sure and
6:56 because first of all you can get fifty just by scratching and clawing and going
7:00 to these kind of things and talking to people and you know I did things for
7:04 Debbie pangaean for example where I literally called our sorry email people
7:08 I'll give you the exact technique I would go to LinkedIn and I'd find people
7:12 who are consultants in WordPress because we're WordPress hosting and I would send
7:18 them the following email I'd say hey I'm a founder of this new WordPress hosting
7:21 company it's supposed to be designed for folks like you so I'd love to talk to
7:26 you about your pain and your needs into the you know customer development stuff
7:29 right and then I'd say now I know your time is valuable you're a consultant and
7:33 so I absolutely do not want you to feel like I'm just trying to grab time from
7:36 you I am very happy to pay whatever you think is fair for an hour of your time
7:40 even if that's more than your normal hourly rate because I appreciate this is
7:44 a weird one off thing so I I literally don't care but I'm very interested and
7:48 here's what happened I set 40 of those a hundred percent of them agreed to talk
7:53 to me on the phone and I actually talked to you know thirty-eight the rest didn't
7:56 schedule or whatever but there's a hundred percent positive response rate
8:01 and 38 of the 42 me and zero of them asked for any money in other words I was
8:05 just respectful of them they were happy to help so that's obviously only one
8:08 technique but it's a pretty easy one to use for pretty much anything so this is
8:11 what I mean you can scratch and get there with the with the idea for a
8:16 company I had before um WP engine I couldn't find enough people to give me
8:19 money and so I gave up both WP engine I was able to find 3040
8:23 people who agreed to give me $50 a month if I built this thing before I had a
8:27 company name before I had a PowerPoint presentation before I had any employees
8:31 before I had a server invited anything I already had 30 people doing that and a
8:35 capital factory which is an incubator in Austin that I helped start I tell
8:38 companies every single year to do this and usually about half of them try it
8:43 and you'd be surprised how many times you can get 20 or 30 people to give you
8:47 a check right there for something that does not exist if the idea is in fact
8:50 solving a pain that they really have which of course is the measure anyway so
8:53 you can get 50 people and you can you can do you know guest posting on certain blogs and other
8:58 social media stuff I actually don't think you can get a lot around that I'll
9:02 talk about that later but you can certainly scratch and claw a little bit
9:04 out of that and then finally you're gonna have some kind of marketing even
9:09 if that's as mundane as Adwords and or special ads on a particular you know
9:12 particular sites that are relevant to your thing or something like that you
9:15 can scrape that together again if you can't scrape that together over a period
9:19 of months of course but if you can't do that then I would argue that it's gonna
9:22 be hard to make this a company ever and so if it could be a company ever in 75
9:28 not not hard to do but the other trick is okay great I can get 150 but the goal
9:33 remember is I want a ten thousand dollars a month in revenue and so this
9:37 makes a very obvious formula that I need to charge what is what may feel like a
9:42 lot of money seventy dollars a month say on average and again a lot of people who
9:49 are self-funded realize that their product that doesn't have a lot of
9:52 features and it's kind of shitty and the support slow because it's just you and
9:55 like actually everything about it is kind of shitty and so I'm not worth the
9:59 charging a lot of money and so you know you feel like a home and in charge 19
10:02 dollars a month nine dollars a month and often that's coupled with but I'll get thousands of
10:07 customers which is of course again very hard so my argument to you is that
10:11 that's that is not a good idea that's a difficult way to go and the easy ways to
10:16 decide how it is valid to charge a lot of money and the good news is this is
10:19 something that Erica Douglas is going to talk about for her entire talk and in
10:22 fact several other people I believe we're going to touch on this and I'll
10:24 even throw out a few things you're getting a ton of ways to do this so you
10:29 have no excuse not to so one example of doing this is exactly the price points
10:33 that we did at WP engine we got started which are those and just having
10:37 different tiers with crap and um you know of course it'll vary by product but
10:41 more features or more a more volume of stuff segmented by customer type that
10:45 sort of thing the usual tearing kind of thing those were our tears and our average
10:50 revenue per customer was more than $100 a month with those particular tears
10:54 this is what I mean right another example is charge a lot for the product
10:59 ninety nine even $1.99 but then have coupons and specials all of the time one
11:05 thing we tried doing once is we it we had that $49 one what we did is
11:09 wrote 79 and then crossed it out and said 49 in sales went up right the same
11:13 thing it just kind of makes it feel so that's what I mean right
11:16 or it make it ninety-nine a month and that's fine except you go to you go to
11:19 bloggers and such and you give them a coupon for their readers which will give
11:23 them 30 percent off for a year which again just gets you back to the 66
11:27 average that you need but everybody feels like they're getting a lot more
11:30 value right so there all kinds of the Internet's full of tricks like this I
11:34 suppose and you'll again you'll hear a lot more but the point is you got to
11:36 charge more money there's lots of ways to do that this is no excuse and then of
11:39 course the nice thing is if you do get to 150 surely that's not the ceiling
11:45 even in a tiny niche and if 150 baguettes up 10 grand then you can see
11:49 oh well yes that's a good that's a good point to go for only because then it's
11:52 very clear that you could get to 15 or 20 probably who knows about a million
11:55 and who knows if you even want to do that but certainly you know you can get
12:00 a nice stable company that way and so again I don't want to beat up the the
12:03 price thing too much because you'll get more of that but what I do want to do is
12:08 is put one word in your mind about this and that's Boutique because you think
12:10 Boutique
12:12 about outside of the tech world what does this mean what's a similar thing a
12:17 shop that's only got one or two people in it and it's super expensive and it's
12:22 barely ever open because it's just them it sounds like a micro business if any
12:25 kind of it can't answer the email we're here at work so you're not open kind of
12:31 right and but you get incredible attention and the work is amazing and
12:36 it's unique and it's special and you feel good helping out people who are
12:40 really making a go of it and so you don't mind that it's three times as
12:44 expensive as it should be for a dress or whatever the hell it is right Boutique
12:48 so you can be a boutique consultant like Patrick McKenzie you can be a boutique
12:53 anything right so this thing even a lawyer right the independent boutique
12:58 lawyer is a thing and so I think this is a nice positive way to say yeah this is
13:02 why it is ok to spend money and this this now dovetails with this with the
13:05 talk I did last year about saying you know if you say I am just one person
13:09 who's really making a go of it that's the kind of thing that actually lets you
13:12 charge more money because people go that's awesome because startups are cool
13:15 right now aren't they and so people want to give you more money Boutique
13:21 okay so staying with the concept of revenue but moving around a little bit
13:24 away from the model I want to talk about cash flow obviously very important for
13:27 any company but in particular self-funded one because you don't have
13:31 cash that's the deal and you know cash is king we're not going to talk about that but since cash
13:37 is king you have to use the annual prepaid trick how many people have are
13:43 using annual prepays right now very few that's interesting okay have to do it
13:47 you have to it's required by law it turns out um because let's suppose you
13:53 figure out a way that you could spend $300 and acquire a customer on average
13:58 that pays fifty bucks a month this is actually pretty easy there's a lot of
14:02 clicks on Google ads or that you know that's like one blog post that content
14:05 Lee writes that you post somewhere you only need one sale from it you know this
14:09 is this is actually a pretty easy bar to reach $350 a month but if that's true
14:15 you if you can spend that to do that then if you've spent 60 grand right now
14:20 if this was a perfect little model if you could you'd get to your ten grand a
14:24 month run rate right now just kind of an interesting thought if you think of it
14:29 in that way and so what happens with annual prepay is you can actually do
14:33 that because if you think about it if you put up on the site and say alright
14:38 if you sign up now for annual then I'll give you two months free so okay you
14:43 collect less money over the over the you know imaginary course of a year that's
14:46 true you can collect sixteen percent less money okay two months but the deal
14:51 is that you pay the 60 K for the for the signups and you get 100 K in cash now of
14:56 course if you waited over course a whole year you would eventually get 120 K
15:02 which is more but that means that right now you get 40 K in the bank right now
15:06 you get your already to your goal and you have 40 K in the bank to go deploy
15:10 on other stuff like more advertising or developing something or hiring a
15:13 designer finally so it doesn't look like ass or whatever it is you're gonna do
15:19 right like it's so having 40 K today now no cash flow problems is always worth
15:24 that what you would have had you would have had 60 K over the next 12 months
15:27 always every single time that's actually true of almost any SAS business period
15:31 but in particular it's true of self-funded businesses so you have to do
15:35 this now this is imaginary you can't make everyone do this right and so I'll
15:39 give you some hard figures this is exactly the numbers that we get at
15:42 wpengine so you can see what I mean one quarter of our signups that come
15:46 through the website elect the annual prepay by revenue so that means 75% of
15:52 the time it's true I only collect one month of revenue from the customer that
15:56 first month and a quarter of the time though I get ten times one month right
16:00 not twelve because it's they give us a discount and so math is pretty simple I
16:05 get over three times the cash flow every month that I would have had and in
16:10 particular the way that our with the cost of our customer acquisition we
16:14 actually collect more money in cash every month then it costs us to acquire
16:18 those customers just like the previous math that is exactly what happens and so
16:22 we literally operate with an infinite marketing budget the marketing budget at
16:27 W engine is not limited by money because we'll make it back in fact we make its
16:31 negative one months because I make the money in credit cards today gets
16:34 deposited in the bank right and then the credit card for stuff like Adwords
16:37 doesn't hit till next month does it actually a negative one months of cash
16:42 flow on that it's okay and so can you I'm saying now look maybe the ratios
16:45 won't be the same but any number of people that elected annually is a lot a
16:48 lot better and lets you deploy that money right away so by the way we can't
16:53 do infinite marketing though because we're constrained by other things like
16:56 human beings we actually stopped our marketing at some point because our tech
17:00 support organization was so overwhelmed with tickets that we were giving people
17:03 bad service which I suppose is a good problem to have but it's a problem
17:07 anyway anyway so it's very realistic that this is the case and I absolutely
17:11 think you have to do it and so let me give you a couple of extra and tips and
17:15 hacks of how to get people to do annual more as we do a really fun one is you
17:19 Annual Hacks
17:20 make a coupon again to give to other sources like affiliates and bloggers and
17:23 stuff like that people who might send you traffic and you give them a coupon
17:28 that says your readers can get three months free you if they sign up for an
17:31 annual prepay and of course the coupon has to only work in that case of course
17:34 you're giving them two months free anyway so three months is not that much
17:38 more but it's a big incentive for people to come up and do it and if it only
17:42 works on annual it's a big cash bump so that's one see another one I told
17:51 this to a company a capital Factory um so they were charging I believed $29 a
17:59 month and I said well and they were all sorts and they had something else like
18:02 they didn't have annual prepay at all and I said well no no I take it back
18:08 they were charging $99 a year and I said oh okay well um why don't you charge $49
18:13 a month and then make the annual discount like half off like it's it's
18:18 six months free just make it ridiculous so they did and signups didn't change at
18:22 all like the number of signups I mean didn't change at all in other words
18:25 everyone was perfectly happy to see a higher price monthly and then receive a
18:29 much much bigger price annually and all of a sudden that happened so if you're
18:33 worried about that annual net number is too big then just raise the monthly rate
18:38 a little bit and discount the annual lot so that it feels like a terrific deal if
18:42 people pick the monthly fine you just raise it a lot so great and if they pick
18:45 the annual they feel like it's a good deal so he encouraged them to do exactly
18:49 that right another thing I did at a capital factory and this is what I was
18:53 just confused with um is that the company was charging I think it was $50
18:57 a year and I said just make it per month and see what happens and they did and
19:01 signups didn't change at all again this is just like raising your price do it
19:06 and then he said okay well now do an annual and again like you can give what
19:10 kind of discounting you want so I got to do stuff like that I'll give you a
19:15 ARPU Hacks
19:15 couple more hacks ARPU stands for average revenue per user that comes from
19:19 telco that's just another way of saying revenue per customer just a couple of
19:24 extra hacks on this because again this amount of money that you're charging per
19:27 customer is the most important metric I think in your company it's going to be
19:30 more important than things like cancellation rate even and other things
19:34 like that when you're small this is the most important thing that will move the
19:38 needle on stuff and again you'll hear a lot more in this whole conference so
19:41 that's good so one thing is just raise prices yet another story of here is
19:43 there was another capital factory company because see there's a hundred
19:46 companies and have a factory to understand so that's why have a lot of
19:49 stories in there but it's good it's a corpus of lots of things lots of people
19:54 bootstrapping and and they were charging 19 dollars a month and I said well double it and see
19:59 what happens no no you understand like just well do it for a week and if no one
20:04 signs up it's cool they're just the only getting one or two sign ups a day
20:07 anyways like it won't really matter so they doubled it to 49 or whatever it was
20:11 and signups didn't change at all they're like this is great I just doubled
20:13 revenue yeah what are you gonna do now they said oh I'm gonna buy a lot of
20:16 Adwords do all this stuff and it's like no you're gonna double it again or at
20:22 least fifty percent or something until something else until something bad
20:27 happens right and we just raised the damn prices that's one of them there's
20:32 other things this is this is when Erica taught me actually say so maybe I'm
20:35 stealing her stuff but you have the tears highlight the middle you've seen
20:37 this on lots of websites right you highlight the middle one and people tend
20:41 to get it instead of the lower one have really big one on the end for people
20:44 that really want they just decide they always want to spend the most money
20:48 people will do that it's nice another one from Erica is called the most
20:51 expensive when the business plan and the people with businesses will sign up for
20:55 that automatically it works and if you go to our website you'll see exactly
20:58 that thanks Erica and so there's lots of tricks and again you'll see a lot more this this uh
21:05 during this conference another hack a lot of people have free trials 15-day
21:09 free trial 30-day free trial that make sense customers want to test stuff out
21:12 first no one trusts anyone that's fine um but I hate free trials actually for
21:18 especially for bootstrap companies because you never get that money back
21:21 most people that sign up with a credit card will stay if that's not true by the
21:25 way something is incredibly poisonous fix that part and don't worry about
21:29 there as this right but if that's true then that means most of the time when
21:32 they give you their credit card you're giving them fifteen or thirty days for
21:35 nothing and you're never gonna charge them for it so you just lost the money
21:39 and that sucks so I don't like trials but you have to give them something so
21:42 we switched to a 60-day money-back guarantee instead of a 15-day free trial
21:43 60-Day Money-Back Guarantee
21:48 and in both cases we took the credit card or originally and when we say but
21:51 we won't charge you until the trial is over and the other one we just charge to
21:53 charge them anyway and said we'll give you a refund and much more time and
21:59 sales went up and people would email us and say you know that 15 days didn't
22:03 seem like enough time now that I have 60 days I decided to sign up
22:08 but I'm charging you more like don't do it like I did yeah they don't it's more
22:12 time and so you get more money and actually it's it's a pretty interesting
22:16 and let me give you some data to back this up I'm like I have no time access
22:21 and no X and y-axis isn't that nice that's because it's not gonna give you
22:24 too much information of you fans and works but this is our number of
22:29 customers graph and there's a pretty obvious change point right there
22:33 and that was about January of last year we added a 60-day money-back guarantee
22:37 instead of a trial we changed our tears around a little bit like you saw a lot
22:40 of that again is due to Erica we added that business here when you rename the
22:45 tears including business look right and this is not even revenue is this number
22:49 of signups right revenue is even better right but number of science in other
22:53 words no it's not like well we charge more of a fewer people signed up in any
22:57 of that math no all of it went up now again won't always be like this but the
23:00 point is people are so scared of changing prices or did it it's like no
23:04 just do it and look at it and like that and the final thing I'll say on revenue
23:10 is I don't like any kind of self funded startups in which the the revenue model
23:14 is anything like what I call picking up pennies which is stuff like Kickstarter
23:15 No picking up pennies
23:18 where I'm gonna have all this activity and money's gonna move around and I'll
23:22 just I'll just scrape off the top or I'll have a donation site and people
23:25 will send money and I'll get 1% and the reason I don't like it is actually that
23:29 nicely demonstrated by Kickstarter they did over a hundred million dollars of
23:33 funding of stuff last year which is really cool except they only made six
23:36 million dollars and that wasn't even enough to cover their cost so they lost
23:39 money and so they have to raise more money and Kickstarter is one of the most
23:43 successful examples of a you know kind of quick growing um you know picking up
23:48 any sort of a company and even they they can't make money really add it I just I
23:52 don't like that maybe a scale at out other things maybe for raising money
23:55 maybe all that but not not this kind so I don't like anything like that I like
23:59 it when you go get customers and charge them lots of money that's what I want so
24:06 so now I want to set revenue aside and talk about markets what kinds of goat
24:10 what kinds of markets to me are conducive to a cash machine company and
24:14 again everything you know there's exceptions to all rules and stuff like
24:17 that but I feel like there are some markets which are intrinsically
24:20 difficult to build a cash machine in and markets where it's intrinsically easier
24:24 and so I just want to go through this and the first thing is this question of
24:28 like should it be B to C or B to B meaning do I sell to other businesses or
24:33 do I sell to consumers and I want to make a very strong argument that you
24:36 should absolutely never not not not sell to consumers people don't spend money on
24:41 stuff I mean Gmail is like one of the best and perhaps the best you know
24:45 online mail thing that has ever existed that ever ever and they started charging
24:48 people five dollars a month knowing what did crazy I know five dollars a month
24:53 for the most amazing email that exists App Store is a good example again I
24:57 remember reading a review of an app that I was gonna buy it's a one dollar 99
25:01 cent app and the review said this is terrible it didn't have this feature
25:05 whatever maybe if it was 99 cents it would have been worth it but not at a
25:09 dollar ninety-nine it's like that's the consumer market that's the deal this is
25:12 not conducive to seventy dollars a month right that's what people pay for their
25:15 time warner bill and even then they complain about it like an suit it's too
25:19 hard to do this in consumer back up a fly another good example they make they
25:23 make back they back up stuff that's a good that's a good cell phone kind of
25:26 company right backing up stuff I think so except they sold the consumers and
25:30 they only charge $40 a year to back up everything couldn't be done damn it so
25:35 they switch to doing business um and if you think about all the companies that
25:38 that you that you might um you know follow or idolize in this in this sort
25:43 of self-funded thing like 37signals and fog Creek and lassie and like in you
25:48 know all the all the people who spoke last year and all that kind of stuff all
25:52 my companies they're all b2b there's not a b2c one in there in fact on the
25:55 speaker list like right off the bat every single person in here almost is
26:00 selling b2b and the thing about but not Patrick right because he's got the be no
26:04 car crater that sells to consumers except talked to Patrick about it and
26:11 right please just don't do that is what he says don't do that so now he's
26:14 telling scheduling software people that have businesses so he's now in the b2b
26:17 camp - and then you have Rob and it's true that robbed these cell towels and
26:20 online and stuff like that the consumers like it fair enough
26:23 except he ditched all that and now he's telling invoicing software that's b2b
26:26 and then hit and then hit tail which is b2b and now a new thing which is B - B
26:31 so it's BV its b2b that's the deal all right that's that's all I got all right
26:36 so let me give you some markets I like and don't like so first of all I don't
26:43 Bad Market: Point-in-Time / Temporary Pain
26:43 like any market in which the pain that the customer experiences is temporary
26:46 where we have to catch them in a certain point in their life we had a company go
26:51 through capital factory that sold this really neat thing we took your wedding
26:55 photos and it made videos out of it it was inexpensive it was really cool every
26:59 single customer that used that everyone said it was awesome they would do it
27:04 again and made a testimonial everyone and who cares because you only get
27:08 married what twice three times so it's not that's not enough of recurring
27:12 revenue right and the problem is you have to catch them right like while
27:15 they're planning their wedding well you and everyone else on earth
27:19 trying to sell things to Brides and you know they spent a lot of money you know
27:21 a lot of big humming spending a lot of money trying to get in front of Brides
27:25 right it's hard to go get in that point of time and go sell the thing and it's
27:29 not recurring I don't like that events is another one you constantly see ice
27:32 constantly see startups trying to sell stuff to people who do events and they
27:36 it's hard to do that it's only once a year and most it's difficult another
27:41 another kind of different example of the same thing at my company smart bear
27:45 after we sold it we started acquiring other companies and and one of them was
27:49 a code profiler which is a tool that tells you how you're if your software is
27:55 running slowly why that's useful of course and so what what happened is
27:58 there was a free trial so what happened is there's suffering slowly and they
28:02 search for a profiler they get it they go fix the problem hooray what a great
28:05 tool except I'm still in my free trial period and now we don't have the pain
28:09 anymore so you can buy and it's very difficult to get them to get recurring
28:12 or something because the thing isn't recurring so temporary pain so if it's
28:17 not a continuous pain I like it so sort of conversely I like things not
28:22 necessary pain or but they value is itself somehow naturally recurring so
28:25 Good Market: Naturally Recurring
28:26 that it makes sense that you would continue charging in a recurring manner
28:30 so one example is if the costs of the service itself is recurring which is
28:33 like wpengine are a hosting company because obviously we have servers and bandwidth and stuff
28:38 like that and that sits there and fans have to spin and amps have to move
28:42 around and stuff like that and so like clearly there are costs and so it
28:45 clearly we charge you every month there's no doubt about it and the only
28:48 question is how much there's no there's no like it should be free like it's not
28:51 even it doesn't even come up because the costs themselves are ongoing another
28:57 example are anything tied to financial cycles invoicing reconciliation taxes
29:04 reporting metrics compliance HR admin is like a ton of stuff that sort of
29:08 attached to financial cycles monthly quarterly annual stuff all those again
29:13 there you have to do it and so anything that goes into that role is good
29:17 invoicing software is is you know Rob's invoicing software is a good example
29:21 another fun data point on this there was a study of thousands of mobile apps that
29:25 somebody did and they asked how much money they were making here's a here's
29:28 one I know most people here are doing Web Apps but still there's a funny data
29:32 point they asked thousands of mobile app developers how much money do you make in
29:36 your app and thirty percent of them said zero dollars and another thirty percent
29:43 said I don't know so from that same study that's interesting maybe a ward
29:46 away from from the mobile app thing for recurring revenue maybe but in
29:52 particular apps that were IT focused averaged a fifteen hundred dollars a
29:57 month in revenue and apps that were financed based averaged six thousand
30:02 dollars a month so again finance cycles good thing another one is um when the
30:07 nature of the pain or the challenge or the value itself changes over time by
30:12 its nature so a lot of examples here are like in digital marketing like SEO
30:17 changes Google changes its mind and other competitors come up and you do
30:21 other stuff and then it's just it's just ever-changing so whatever the tool is
30:24 that you use to track or improve SEO sort of bites very nature you have to
30:27 keep using it because the theme underneath it is moving so lots of
30:30 things in digital Marketing are like this AdWords SEO competitive reports email marketing
30:36 content marketing social media measurement techniques a B testing like
30:40 kind of anything in that world is by its very nature dynamic is an overused word
30:45 but it's true changing over time and so you kind of need a tool over and over
30:48 again um to keep up with it so that's a natural pattern another one is support which may be a
30:54 dangerous place to go for a self-funded company because that means human time
30:58 and that can be very expensive but the fact is that support is something that
31:01 is again naturally recurring it's very easy so for example we have a premium
31:05 support package that's $500 a month that gets you some better essays and stuff
31:09 and so for example a simple version of that is you could say for only $100 a
31:13 month you can have a you can have a premium support package in which your
31:16 tickets get priority over the people who are not and you just make two queues and
31:19 work them that way and so those people simply have faster response times bla
31:22 bla bla at the front of the line and it's pretty much free money because you
31:26 want to do all the tickets anyways and it just changes the order in which you
31:29 do it in such a way that people are giving you money so that's interesting
31:32 way to incorporate support in a way that is actually conducive to a you know low
31:37 touch support kind of thing like we're talking about we you know we now have
31:41 this big scaling support organization so it's more complicated as account
31:44 management stuff but anyway that's a way to do it in a small way so when I don't
31:53 like is products that are viral where that's supposed to be how they grow and
31:56 the reason is number one they almost never work just by the numbers they almost never
32:00 work and so I just don't like it at all because it's look it's low risk of
32:03 success and that sucks another thing is even if the viola coefficient is okay it's hard to get
32:09 going like the only have a hundred users and every month one percent of them
32:14 invite a friend it's like right that's one more user M or zero because now
32:18 we're in rounding error right like it's really hard to get going unless you have
32:21 this big corpus to start with right and so in that big corpus to start with is
32:25 often really difficult and expensive like you often can't charge yet and it's
32:30 hard so to me it doesn't fit the model of the cell phone at startup so I don't
32:38 kind of thing I do like is anything that um that isn't a real time in its nature
32:43 Good Market: Not Real-Time
32:44 by which I mean it is not that the user absolutely gets something
32:48 out of you in this instant or else it's over so um Hosting is a bad is a counter
32:54 example so here's one example where the attention was not a good fit in this and
32:57 and rightly so I mean imagine how many times we wake up in the middle of the night to fix
33:02 something and that's because when a site is down and then all the night we have
33:05 to go fix it because it's a real-time right we can't wait till the morning
33:09 not okay that's supposed to invoicing software where it could wait till the
33:12 morning it's not ideal but you can you can send that invoice out in a day it's
33:16 okay doesn't be today and that's terrific that's what you want you don't
33:19 want to get up in the night that was a mistake you don't want to do that so
33:24 anything that's sort of decision support for a business so right analytics and
33:28 metrics and monitoring all these kind of things are almost never real-time in
33:33 their nature and and/or they make the data might be but the availability
33:36 doesn't necessarily need to be which is kind of more to the point another
33:40 example is again anything in finance because there's always lots of buffer
33:43 around when the finance folks have to do their various things and so you have
33:49 time project management's another random just just another random example these
33:52 are obviously far from exhaustive these just sort of the you know getting your
33:55 juices flowing project management again like if my if Trello isn't available for an hour that
34:02 does suck no doubt about it like I saw several Trello board so I was walking
34:05 around so for sure that's that's something but you're not gonna cancel
34:09 you're not gonna go in that case I'm gonna completely switch to different
34:11 problems just not gonna happen because it's okay anything that's content is
34:16 obviously something that's easy and content also is super easy to make
34:20 highly available anyway you put our an s3 finished right or something like that
34:25 like contents easy to make always available anyhow in it and anyway if
34:30 it's not available it's okay another market kind of market I don't like is
34:33 Bad Market: Marketplace
34:34 marketplaces this is where I have buyers and sellers and I bring them together so
34:39 that they have a marketplace of fun Etsy is a marketplace Kickstarter is a
34:44 marketplace eBay is sort of the quintessential it you know big
34:48 marketplace play Amazon oddly enough is kind of a marketplace and that they're
34:53 they're you know Amazon doesn't make any products okay now they make a few but in
34:56 general they don't right they just get consumers to a website and get
34:58 products and sell it that's a marketplace and the reason I don't like
35:01 it again marketplace is very difficult to build almost never work because you kind
35:07 of have two businesses you have the business of getting the sellers to get
35:11 over here and put your products here and use my method of payment and God knows
35:14 what else it is and you have to go do that and pull them over and you have no
35:18 buyers you have to do that with and you need two buyers you need to convince
35:21 them and advertise them whatever the hell you do to get them over here and
35:24 you don't have sellers yet see this chicken and egg kind of to business
35:28 Janus sort of thing going on it's hard and the good news is if you're
35:32 successful it's very defensible we were talking about this last night but
35:36 supposing Etsy right now open source their whole environment so can you go
35:40 compete with Etsy no because people type Etsy calm that is actually their asset
35:45 asset the fact that someone types at sea calm the fact that someone types evades
35:48 fact that some of the types Kickstarter is in fact the valuable asset of a
35:52 company not the code behind it right so that's cool it's great but again for a
35:56 self-funded startup I feel like two companies are have a much much lower
36:00 risk of succeeding than one you know two that have to both be successful in a way
36:03 and it's just hard so I don't I don't like it a market I do like going back
36:10 again is something that can be done and I think there's a ton of kinds of things
36:13 that can be done but what I mean is you don't want to be in a feature war with
36:17 another product where where your success is tied to things like oh they have more
36:21 features than I just have to keep writing because by your very nature you
36:24 don't have many developers and you don't as many resources in general your
36:28 designers aren't as good whatever by its very nature so why would you compete in
36:32 a space in which lots of features is it is is a differentiator when that's not a
36:36 kind of a thing that you're gonna have as a unique differentiator nico mac the
36:41 guy that made winzip with made a million dollars a year in the 90s with shareware
36:46 and winzip was done right I mean sure there was like WinZip nine and who even
36:49 knows what it did nothing right it's it's winzip and most of us stolen anyhow
36:52 and he still made a million dollars a year way back when that was actually
36:55 pretty hard and you were mailing postcards with checks and stuff for the
36:58 shareware remember that beer ware and all that um but that's what I mean a
37:03 product that can be done not that you never work on it again of course that's
37:06 not really the case but it can be done and there's a ton of kinds of products
37:09 like that I like that another thing I like is an aftermarket
37:13 by which I mean there's already an established incumbent product that has a
37:19 lot of following and you can tack onto the end of it and so some examples right
37:23 here smart fair was like that so you already have version control and now you
37:26 have code review so we integrated with perforce and subversion and CVS and in
37:31 fact a dozen different things balsamiq mockups started as add-ons to Basecamp
37:34 and so on woo themes obviously is is themes on the platform of WordPress the
37:39 current company is based on the fact that WordPress has a huge following and
37:42 they need a host somewhere that's an often after market service for WordPress
37:47 alien skin is a company that's that kind of well known for being around for over
37:50 a decade meaning making tons of money bootstrapped and they make photoshop
37:55 plugins cool photoshop plugins they don't make Photoshop they just make cool
37:59 plugins afterwards queue ODBC is a company's been around since 1984 let me
38:02 say that again and they're bootstrapped and all they do is sell this product that takes a
38:10 QuickBooks file and puts an ODBC interface on it so you can make database
38:13 queries against it pretty cool aftermarket tool for QuickBooks so um
38:20 this is what I mean it so much is it's easy to understand like this is the
38:23 product this is exactly how it works these are the pain points a lot of
38:26 people with this product have this pain point I know how to find those customers
38:29 because they use this particular product so the keywords are obvious many times
38:34 the vendors are interested in supporting you I gave a talk at the perforce that's
38:38 version control the perforce user conference every year about code review
38:41 because we were an aftermarket tool on perforce and we promoted perforce as
38:46 well um as a result just there was no agreement we didn't change money we just
38:50 did because perforce was good and so our tool worked well with it and so I got
38:53 customers all the time by being invited to their user conference and to give a
38:58 talk which is bizarre because they wanted to support it so even better are
39:02 the are the companies or what I would say ecosystems meaning companies that
39:07 intentionally go make this after market market and like Salesforce you can
39:09 Good Market: After-Markets
3:22 Part One: Revenue Model
3:24 revenue models and this might be pretty obvious but um my third company smart
3:30 bear was what you might call one-off software you bought it you downloaded it
3:33 and you don't really come back maybe there's upgrades maybe for
3:37 enterprise plans you get 20% per year if you really hackle them and they really
3:40 care about the features you added but more or less every time the month turns
3:45 over you have to start from scratch for revenue this is of course the opposite
3:49 of a cash machine as far as I'm concerned and I can tell you that smart
3:53 bear even after having millions in revenue and therefore probably should
3:57 have felt pretty comfortable each month that we'd be ok I literally would wake
4:01 up in the middle of the night wake up in the night panicked wondering how am I
4:06 gonna cover payroll in the this month and I felt that way when was just me for
4:10 two years and I felt that way 7 years later when was a team of 12 and all that
4:13 I still felt the same way it never got better ever ever and it's a horrible way
4:18 to live I had it's horrible so I don't like that so of course recruiting
4:22 revenue we don't have to gonna have to compete you over the head about that no
4:25 kidding that's what it means to get much to know I'm going to have money
4:29 is that it's recurrent but I think the details around this are not obvious I
4:33 want to get into what specifically I mean because you probably have heard of
4:39 this thing that Kevin Kelly first the thought of called a thousand fans and he
4:44 said you know all these artists especially especially musicians who want
4:50 to get away from the labels they they could get away with labels if they could
4:54 just get a thousand rabid fans to to buy like one or two hundred dollars a year
4:59 worth of merch and going to concerts and stuff like that and that's all they need
5:03 and they wouldn't need labels or anything it because what they really
5:07 want I mean sure they want lots of money that'd be great but considering right
5:11 now they are have to have a full-time job and barely can do the band versus
5:15 okay I don't have ten million dollars in the bank but I'm doing what I love which
5:18 is just playing music and traveling the country that's an amazing shift and all
5:22 you need is a thousand rabid fans this isn't this is a really romantic
5:26 fantastic concept and so Seth Godin got ahold of it and he's like that is and so
5:29 he posted it and then it got really popular and that's where everyone heard
5:33 about it more or less the problem is that a couple of weeks later kevin kelly
5:39 redacted the whole idea he said you know i was inundated with information from
5:43 actual artists and they said this is completely not true and first of all you
5:48 can't even get people to give you 100 200 dollars a year it's hard you can't
5:52 get a thousand rabid fans you can get like 30 or 50 of your you know your
5:55 friends and family and stuff but actually a thousand fans super hard to
6:00 get a thousand people at any price point is really hard how many people in here
6:04 have over a thousand customers ooh not bad how many of them give you $10 a
6:12 month or more $100 a month or more right it's really hard to get 10,000 of
6:16 anything and really hard to get you know a you know a decent amount of money and
6:19 the other thing was even if they did have the the you know one or two hundred
6:23 dollars a year times a thousand so to you know say call it $200,000 not enough
6:28 to cover all the expenses for traveling around doing paying a couple of band
6:31 members and stuff it actually isn't enough so unfortunately Seth it was it
6:36 was not in his interest to redact his own thing so he didn't Seth didn't say a
6:39 thing and so it was stuck in everyone's mind that thousand rabid fans is a good idea and
6:43 no one read the thing that said actually it's not so I'm gonna propose a
6:49 different thing instead that let's do one hundred and fifty fans or really
6:52 hundred fifty customers right and you can do one hundred fifty for sure and
6:56 because first of all you can get fifty just by scratching and clawing and going
7:00 to these kind of things and talking to people and you know I did things for
7:04 Debbie pangaean for example where I literally called our sorry email people
7:08 I'll give you the exact technique I would go to LinkedIn and I'd find people
7:12 who are consultants in WordPress because we're WordPress hosting and I would send
7:18 them the following email I'd say hey I'm a founder of this new WordPress hosting
7:21 company it's supposed to be designed for folks like you so I'd love to talk to
7:26 you about your pain and your needs into the you know customer development stuff
7:29 right and then I'd say now I know your time is valuable you're a consultant and
7:33 so I absolutely do not want you to feel like I'm just trying to grab time from
7:36 you I am very happy to pay whatever you think is fair for an hour of your time
7:40 even if that's more than your normal hourly rate because I appreciate this is
7:44 a weird one off thing so I I literally don't care but I'm very interested and
7:48 here's what happened I set 40 of those a hundred percent of them agreed to talk
7:53 to me on the phone and I actually talked to you know thirty-eight the rest didn't
7:56 schedule or whatever but there's a hundred percent positive response rate
8:01 and 38 of the 42 me and zero of them asked for any money in other words I was
8:05 just respectful of them they were happy to help so that's obviously only one
8:08 technique but it's a pretty easy one to use for pretty much anything so this is
8:11 what I mean you can scratch and get there with the with the idea for a
8:16 company I had before um WP engine I couldn't find enough people to give me
8:19 money and so I gave up both WP engine I was able to find 3040
8:23 people who agreed to give me $50 a month if I built this thing before I had a
8:27 company name before I had a PowerPoint presentation before I had any employees
8:31 before I had a server invited anything I already had 30 people doing that and a
8:35 capital factory which is an incubator in Austin that I helped start I tell
8:38 companies every single year to do this and usually about half of them try it
8:43 and you'd be surprised how many times you can get 20 or 30 people to give you
8:47 a check right there for something that does not exist if the idea is in fact
8:50 solving a pain that they really have which of course is the measure anyway so
8:53 you can get 50 people and you can you can do you know guest posting on certain blogs and other
8:58 social media stuff I actually don't think you can get a lot around that I'll
9:02 talk about that later but you can certainly scratch and claw a little bit
9:04 out of that and then finally you're gonna have some kind of marketing even
9:09 if that's as mundane as Adwords and or special ads on a particular you know
9:12 particular sites that are relevant to your thing or something like that you
9:15 can scrape that together again if you can't scrape that together over a period
9:19 of months of course but if you can't do that then I would argue that it's gonna
9:22 be hard to make this a company ever and so if it could be a company ever in 75
9:28 not not hard to do but the other trick is okay great I can get 150 but the goal
9:33 remember is I want a ten thousand dollars a month in revenue and so this
9:37 makes a very obvious formula that I need to charge what is what may feel like a
9:42 lot of money seventy dollars a month say on average and again a lot of people who
9:49 are self-funded realize that their product that doesn't have a lot of
9:52 features and it's kind of shitty and the support slow because it's just you and
9:55 like actually everything about it is kind of shitty and so I'm not worth the
9:59 charging a lot of money and so you know you feel like a home and in charge 19
10:02 dollars a month nine dollars a month and often that's coupled with but I'll get thousands of
10:07 customers which is of course again very hard so my argument to you is that
10:11 that's that is not a good idea that's a difficult way to go and the easy ways to
10:16 decide how it is valid to charge a lot of money and the good news is this is
10:19 something that Erica Douglas is going to talk about for her entire talk and in
10:22 fact several other people I believe we're going to touch on this and I'll
10:24 even throw out a few things you're getting a ton of ways to do this so you
10:29 have no excuse not to so one example of doing this is exactly the price points
10:33 that we did at WP engine we got started which are those and just having
10:37 different tiers with crap and um you know of course it'll vary by product but
10:41 more features or more a more volume of stuff segmented by customer type that
10:45 sort of thing the usual tearing kind of thing those were our tears and our average
10:50 revenue per customer was more than $100 a month with those particular tears
10:54 this is what I mean right another example is charge a lot for the product
10:59 ninety nine even $1.99 but then have coupons and specials all of the time one
11:05 thing we tried doing once is we it we had that $49 one what we did is
11:09 wrote 79 and then crossed it out and said 49 in sales went up right the same
11:13 thing it just kind of makes it feel so that's what I mean right
11:16 or it make it ninety-nine a month and that's fine except you go to you go to
11:19 bloggers and such and you give them a coupon for their readers which will give
11:23 them 30 percent off for a year which again just gets you back to the 66
11:27 average that you need but everybody feels like they're getting a lot more
11:30 value right so there all kinds of the Internet's full of tricks like this I
11:34 suppose and you'll again you'll hear a lot more but the point is you got to
11:36 charge more money there's lots of ways to do that this is no excuse and then of
11:39 course the nice thing is if you do get to 150 surely that's not the ceiling
11:45 even in a tiny niche and if 150 baguettes up 10 grand then you can see
11:49 oh well yes that's a good that's a good point to go for only because then it's
11:52 very clear that you could get to 15 or 20 probably who knows about a million
11:55 and who knows if you even want to do that but certainly you know you can get
12:00 a nice stable company that way and so again I don't want to beat up the the
12:03 price thing too much because you'll get more of that but what I do want to do is
12:08 is put one word in your mind about this and that's Boutique because you think
12:12 about outside of the tech world what does this mean what's a similar thing a
12:17 shop that's only got one or two people in it and it's super expensive and it's
12:22 barely ever open because it's just them it sounds like a micro business if any
12:25 kind of it can't answer the email we're here at work so you're not open kind of
12:31 right and but you get incredible attention and the work is amazing and
12:36 it's unique and it's special and you feel good helping out people who are
12:40 really making a go of it and so you don't mind that it's three times as
12:44 expensive as it should be for a dress or whatever the hell it is right Boutique
12:48 so you can be a boutique consultant like Patrick McKenzie you can be a boutique
12:53 anything right so this thing even a lawyer right the independent boutique
12:58 lawyer is a thing and so I think this is a nice positive way to say yeah this is
13:02 why it is ok to spend money and this this now dovetails with this with the
13:05 talk I did last year about saying you know if you say I am just one person
13:09 who's really making a go of it that's the kind of thing that actually lets you
13:12 charge more money because people go that's awesome because startups are cool
13:15 right now aren't they and so people want to give you more money Boutique
13:21 okay so staying with the concept of revenue but moving around a little bit
13:24 away from the model I want to talk about cash flow obviously very important for
13:27 any company but in particular self-funded one because you don't have
13:31 cash that's the deal and you know cash is king we're not going to talk about that but since cash
13:37 is king you have to use the annual prepaid trick how many people have are
13:43 using annual prepays right now very few that's interesting okay have to do it
13:47 you have to it's required by law it turns out um because let's suppose you
13:53 figure out a way that you could spend $300 and acquire a customer on average
13:58 that pays fifty bucks a month this is actually pretty easy there's a lot of
14:02 clicks on Google ads or that you know that's like one blog post that content
14:05 Lee writes that you post somewhere you only need one sale from it you know this
14:09 is this is actually a pretty easy bar to reach $350 a month but if that's true
14:15 you if you can spend that to do that then if you've spent 60 grand right now
14:20 if this was a perfect little model if you could you'd get to your ten grand a
14:24 month run rate right now just kind of an interesting thought if you think of it
14:29 in that way and so what happens with annual prepay is you can actually do
14:33 that because if you think about it if you put up on the site and say alright
14:38 if you sign up now for annual then I'll give you two months free so okay you
14:43 collect less money over the over the you know imaginary course of a year that's
14:46 true you can collect sixteen percent less money okay two months but the deal
14:51 is that you pay the 60 K for the for the signups and you get 100 K in cash now of
14:56 course if you waited over course a whole year you would eventually get 120 K
15:02 which is more but that means that right now you get 40 K in the bank right now
15:06 you get your already to your goal and you have 40 K in the bank to go deploy
15:10 on other stuff like more advertising or developing something or hiring a
15:13 designer finally so it doesn't look like ass or whatever it is you're gonna do
15:19 right like it's so having 40 K today now no cash flow problems is always worth
15:24 that what you would have had you would have had 60 K over the next 12 months
15:27 always every single time that's actually true of almost any SAS business period
15:31 but in particular it's true of self-funded businesses so you have to do
15:35 this now this is imaginary you can't make everyone do this right and so I'll
15:39 give you some hard figures this is exactly the numbers that we get at
15:42 wpengine so you can see what I mean one quarter of our signups that come
15:46 through the website elect the annual prepay by revenue so that means 75% of
15:52 the time it's true I only collect one month of revenue from the customer that
15:56 first month and a quarter of the time though I get ten times one month right
16:00 not twelve because it's they give us a discount and so math is pretty simple I
16:05 get over three times the cash flow every month that I would have had and in
16:10 particular the way that our with the cost of our customer acquisition we
16:14 actually collect more money in cash every month then it costs us to acquire
16:18 those customers just like the previous math that is exactly what happens and so
16:22 we literally operate with an infinite marketing budget the marketing budget at
16:27 W engine is not limited by money because we'll make it back in fact we make its
16:31 negative one months because I make the money in credit cards today gets
16:34 deposited in the bank right and then the credit card for stuff like Adwords
16:37 doesn't hit till next month does it actually a negative one months of cash
16:42 flow on that it's okay and so can you I'm saying now look maybe the ratios
16:45 won't be the same but any number of people that elected annually is a lot a
16:48 lot better and lets you deploy that money right away so by the way we can't
16:53 do infinite marketing though because we're constrained by other things like
16:56 human beings we actually stopped our marketing at some point because our tech
17:00 support organization was so overwhelmed with tickets that we were giving people
17:03 bad service which I suppose is a good problem to have but it's a problem
17:07 anyway anyway so it's very realistic that this is the case and I absolutely
17:11 think you have to do it and so let me give you a couple of extra and tips and
17:15 hacks of how to get people to do annual more as we do a really fun one is you
17:20 make a coupon again to give to other sources like affiliates and bloggers and
17:23 stuff like that people who might send you traffic and you give them a coupon
17:28 that says your readers can get three months free you if they sign up for an
17:31 annual prepay and of course the coupon has to only work in that case of course
17:34 you're giving them two months free anyway so three months is not that much
17:38 more but it's a big incentive for people to come up and do it and if it only
17:42 works on annual it's a big cash bump so that's one see another one I told
17:51 this to a company a capital Factory um so they were charging I believed $29 a
17:59 month and I said well and they were all sorts and they had something else like
18:02 they didn't have annual prepay at all and I said well no no I take it back
18:08 they were charging $99 a year and I said oh okay well um why don't you charge $49
18:13 a month and then make the annual discount like half off like it's it's
18:18 six months free just make it ridiculous so they did and signups didn't change at
18:22 all like the number of signups I mean didn't change at all in other words
18:25 everyone was perfectly happy to see a higher price monthly and then receive a
18:29 much much bigger price annually and all of a sudden that happened so if you're
18:33 worried about that annual net number is too big then just raise the monthly rate
18:38 a little bit and discount the annual lot so that it feels like a terrific deal if
18:42 people pick the monthly fine you just raise it a lot so great and if they pick
18:45 the annual they feel like it's a good deal so he encouraged them to do exactly
18:49 that right another thing I did at a capital factory and this is what I was
18:53 just confused with um is that the company was charging I think it was $50
18:57 a year and I said just make it per month and see what happens and they did and
19:01 signups didn't change at all again this is just like raising your price do it
19:06 and then he said okay well now do an annual and again like you can give what
19:10 kind of discounting you want so I got to do stuff like that I'll give you a
19:15 couple more hacks ARPU stands for average revenue per user that comes from
19:19 telco that's just another way of saying revenue per customer just a couple of
19:24 extra hacks on this because again this amount of money that you're charging per
19:27 customer is the most important metric I think in your company it's going to be
19:30 more important than things like cancellation rate even and other things
19:34 like that when you're small this is the most important thing that will move the
19:38 needle on stuff and again you'll hear a lot more in this whole conference so
19:41 that's good so one thing is just raise prices yet another story of here is
19:43 there was another capital factory company because see there's a hundred
19:46 companies and have a factory to understand so that's why have a lot of
19:49 stories in there but it's good it's a corpus of lots of things lots of people
19:54 bootstrapping and and they were charging 19 dollars a month and I said well double it and see
19:59 what happens no no you understand like just well do it for a week and if no one
20:04 signs up it's cool they're just the only getting one or two sign ups a day
20:07 anyways like it won't really matter so they doubled it to 49 or whatever it was
20:11 and signups didn't change at all they're like this is great I just doubled
20:13 revenue yeah what are you gonna do now they said oh I'm gonna buy a lot of
20:16 Adwords do all this stuff and it's like no you're gonna double it again or at
20:22 least fifty percent or something until something else until something bad
20:27 happens right and we just raised the damn prices that's one of them there's
20:32 other things this is this is when Erica taught me actually say so maybe I'm
20:35 stealing her stuff but you have the tears highlight the middle you've seen
20:37 this on lots of websites right you highlight the middle one and people tend
20:41 to get it instead of the lower one have really big one on the end for people
20:44 that really want they just decide they always want to spend the most money
20:48 people will do that it's nice another one from Erica is called the most
20:51 expensive when the business plan and the people with businesses will sign up for
20:55 that automatically it works and if you go to our website you'll see exactly
20:58 that thanks Erica and so there's lots of tricks and again you'll see a lot more this this uh
21:05 during this conference another hack a lot of people have free trials 15-day
21:09 free trial 30-day free trial that make sense customers want to test stuff out
21:12 first no one trusts anyone that's fine um but I hate free trials actually for
21:18 especially for bootstrap companies because you never get that money back
21:21 most people that sign up with a credit card will stay if that's not true by the
21:25 way something is incredibly poisonous fix that part and don't worry about
21:29 there as this right but if that's true then that means most of the time when
21:32 they give you their credit card you're giving them fifteen or thirty days for
21:35 nothing and you're never gonna charge them for it so you just lost the money
21:39 and that sucks so I don't like trials but you have to give them something so
21:42 we switched to a 60-day money-back guarantee instead of a 15-day free trial
21:48 and in both cases we took the credit card or originally and when we say but
21:51 we won't charge you until the trial is over and the other one we just charge to
21:53 charge them anyway and said we'll give you a refund and much more time and
21:59 sales went up and people would email us and say you know that 15 days didn't
22:03 seem like enough time now that I have 60 days I decided to sign up
22:08 but I'm charging you more like don't do it like I did yeah they don't it's more
22:12 time and so you get more money and actually it's it's a pretty interesting
22:16 and let me give you some data to back this up I'm like I have no time access
22:21 and no X and y-axis isn't that nice that's because it's not gonna give you
22:24 too much information of you fans and works but this is our number of
22:29 customers graph and there's a pretty obvious change point right there
22:33 and that was about January of last year we added a 60-day money-back guarantee
22:37 instead of a trial we changed our tears around a little bit like you saw a lot
22:40 of that again is due to Erica we added that business here when you rename the
22:45 tears including business look right and this is not even revenue is this number
22:49 of signups right revenue is even better right but number of science in other
22:53 words no it's not like well we charge more of a fewer people signed up in any
22:57 of that math no all of it went up now again won't always be like this but the
23:00 point is people are so scared of changing prices or did it it's like no
23:04 just do it and look at it and like that and the final thing I'll say on revenue
23:10 is I don't like any kind of self funded startups in which the the revenue model
23:14 is anything like what I call picking up pennies which is stuff like Kickstarter
23:18 where I'm gonna have all this activity and money's gonna move around and I'll
23:22 just I'll just scrape off the top or I'll have a donation site and people
23:25 will send money and I'll get 1% and the reason I don't like it is actually that
23:29 nicely demonstrated by Kickstarter they did over a hundred million dollars of
23:33 funding of stuff last year which is really cool except they only made six
23:36 million dollars and that wasn't even enough to cover their cost so they lost
23:39 money and so they have to raise more money and Kickstarter is one of the most
23:43 successful examples of a you know kind of quick growing um you know picking up
23:48 any sort of a company and even they they can't make money really add it I just I
23:52 don't like that maybe a scale at out other things maybe for raising money
23:55 maybe all that but not not this kind so I don't like anything like that I like
23:59 it when you go get customers and charge them lots of money that's what I want so
24:06 so now I want to set revenue aside and talk about markets what kinds of goat
24:10 what kinds of markets to me are conducive to a cash machine company and
24:14 again everything you know there's exceptions to all rules and stuff like
24:17 that but I feel like there are some markets which are intrinsically
24:20 difficult to build a cash machine in and markets where it's intrinsically easier
24:24 and so I just want to go through this and the first thing is this question of
24:28 like should it be B to C or B to B meaning do I sell to other businesses or
24:33 do I sell to consumers and I want to make a very strong argument that you
24:36 should absolutely never not not not sell to consumers people don't spend money on
24:41 stuff I mean Gmail is like one of the best and perhaps the best you know
24:45 online mail thing that has ever existed that ever ever and they started charging
24:48 people five dollars a month knowing what did crazy I know five dollars a month
24:53 for the most amazing email that exists App Store is a good example again I
24:57 remember reading a review of an app that I was gonna buy it's a one dollar 99
25:01 cent app and the review said this is terrible it didn't have this feature
25:05 whatever maybe if it was 99 cents it would have been worth it but not at a
25:09 dollar ninety-nine it's like that's the consumer market that's the deal this is
25:12 not conducive to seventy dollars a month right that's what people pay for their
25:15 time warner bill and even then they complain about it like an suit it's too
25:19 hard to do this in consumer back up a fly another good example they make they
25:23 make back they back up stuff that's a good that's a good cell phone kind of
25:26 company right backing up stuff I think so except they sold the consumers and
25:30 they only charge $40 a year to back up everything couldn't be done damn it so
25:35 they switch to doing business um and if you think about all the companies that
25:38 that you that you might um you know follow or idolize in this in this sort
25:43 of self-funded thing like 37signals and fog Creek and lassie and like in you
25:48 know all the all the people who spoke last year and all that kind of stuff all
25:52 my companies they're all b2b there's not a b2c one in there in fact on the
25:55 speaker list like right off the bat every single person in here almost is
26:00 selling b2b and the thing about but not Patrick right because he's got the be no
26:04 car crater that sells to consumers except talked to Patrick about it and
26:11 right please just don't do that is what he says don't do that so now he's
26:14 telling scheduling software people that have businesses so he's now in the b2b
26:17 camp - and then you have Rob and it's true that robbed these cell towels and
26:20 online and stuff like that the consumers like it fair enough
26:23 except he ditched all that and now he's telling invoicing software that's b2b
26:26 and then hit and then hit tail which is b2b and now a new thing which is B - B
26:31 so it's BV its b2b that's the deal all right that's that's all I got all right
26:36 so let me give you some markets I like and don't like so first of all I don't
26:43 like any market in which the pain that the customer experiences is temporary
26:46 where we have to catch them in a certain point in their life we had a company go
26:51 through capital factory that sold this really neat thing we took your wedding
26:55 photos and it made videos out of it it was inexpensive it was really cool every
26:59 single customer that used that everyone said it was awesome they would do it
27:04 again and made a testimonial everyone and who cares because you only get
27:08 married what twice three times so it's not that's not enough of recurring
27:12 revenue right and the problem is you have to catch them right like while
27:15 they're planning their wedding well you and everyone else on earth
27:19 trying to sell things to Brides and you know they spent a lot of money you know
27:21 a lot of big humming spending a lot of money trying to get in front of Brides
27:25 right it's hard to go get in that point of time and go sell the thing and it's
27:29 not recurring I don't like that events is another one you constantly see ice
27:32 constantly see startups trying to sell stuff to people who do events and they
27:36 it's hard to do that it's only once a year and most it's difficult another
27:41 another kind of different example of the same thing at my company smart bear
27:45 after we sold it we started acquiring other companies and and one of them was
27:49 a code profiler which is a tool that tells you how you're if your software is
27:55 running slowly why that's useful of course and so what what happened is
27:58 there was a free trial so what happened is there's suffering slowly and they
28:02 search for a profiler they get it they go fix the problem hooray what a great
28:05 tool except I'm still in my free trial period and now we don't have the pain
28:09 anymore so you can buy and it's very difficult to get them to get recurring
28:12 or something because the thing isn't recurring so temporary pain so if it's
28:17 not a continuous pain I like it so sort of conversely I like things not
28:22 necessary pain or but they value is itself somehow naturally recurring so
28:26 that it makes sense that you would continue charging in a recurring manner
28:30 so one example is if the costs of the service itself is recurring which is
28:33 like wpengine are a hosting company because obviously we have servers and bandwidth and stuff
28:38 like that and that sits there and fans have to spin and amps have to move
28:42 around and stuff like that and so like clearly there are costs and so it
28:45 clearly we charge you every month there's no doubt about it and the only
28:48 question is how much there's no there's no like it should be free like it's not
28:51 even it doesn't even come up because the costs themselves are ongoing another
28:57 example are anything tied to financial cycles invoicing reconciliation taxes
29:04 reporting metrics compliance HR admin is like a ton of stuff that sort of
29:08 attached to financial cycles monthly quarterly annual stuff all those again
29:13 there you have to do it and so anything that goes into that role is good
29:17 invoicing software is is you know Rob's invoicing software is a good example
29:21 another fun data point on this there was a study of thousands of mobile apps that
29:25 somebody did and they asked how much money they were making here's a here's
29:28 one I know most people here are doing Web Apps but still there's a funny data
29:32 point they asked thousands of mobile app developers how much money do you make in
29:36 your app and thirty percent of them said zero dollars and another thirty percent
29:43 said I don't know so from that same study that's interesting maybe a ward
29:46 away from from the mobile app thing for recurring revenue maybe but in
29:52 particular apps that were IT focused averaged a fifteen hundred dollars a
29:57 month in revenue and apps that were financed based averaged six thousand
30:02 dollars a month so again finance cycles good thing another one is um when the
30:07 nature of the pain or the challenge or the value itself changes over time by
30:12 its nature so a lot of examples here are like in digital marketing like SEO
30:17 changes Google changes its mind and other competitors come up and you do
30:21 other stuff and then it's just it's just ever-changing so whatever the tool is
30:24 that you use to track or improve SEO sort of bites very nature you have to
30:27 keep using it because the theme underneath it is moving so lots of
30:30 things in digital Marketing are like this AdWords SEO competitive reports email marketing
30:36 content marketing social media measurement techniques a B testing like
30:40 kind of anything in that world is by its very nature dynamic is an overused word
30:45 but it's true changing over time and so you kind of need a tool over and over
30:48 again um to keep up with it so that's a natural pattern another one is support which may be a
30:54 dangerous place to go for a self-funded company because that means human time
30:58 and that can be very expensive but the fact is that support is something that
31:01 is again naturally recurring it's very easy so for example we have a premium
31:05 support package that's $500 a month that gets you some better essays and stuff
31:09 and so for example a simple version of that is you could say for only $100 a
31:13 month you can have a you can have a premium support package in which your
31:16 tickets get priority over the people who are not and you just make two queues and
31:19 work them that way and so those people simply have faster response times bla
31:22 bla bla at the front of the line and it's pretty much free money because you
31:26 want to do all the tickets anyways and it just changes the order in which you
31:29 do it in such a way that people are giving you money so that's interesting
31:32 way to incorporate support in a way that is actually conducive to a you know low
31:37 touch support kind of thing like we're talking about we you know we now have
31:41 this big scaling support organization so it's more complicated as account
31:44 management stuff but anyway that's a way to do it in a small way so when I don't
31:53 like is products that are viral where that's supposed to be how they grow and
31:56 the reason is number one they almost never work just by the numbers they almost never
32:00 work and so I just don't like it at all because it's look it's low risk of
32:03 success and that sucks another thing is even if the viola coefficient is okay it's hard to get
32:09 going like the only have a hundred users and every month one percent of them
32:14 invite a friend it's like right that's one more user M or zero because now
32:18 we're in rounding error right like it's really hard to get going unless you have
32:21 this big corpus to start with right and so in that big corpus to start with is
32:25 often really difficult and expensive like you often can't charge yet and it's
32:30 hard so to me it doesn't fit the model of the cell phone at startup so I don't
32:38 kind of thing I do like is anything that um that isn't a real time in its nature
32:44 by which I mean it is not that the user absolutely gets something
32:48 out of you in this instant or else it's over so um Hosting is a bad is a counter
32:54 example so here's one example where the attention was not a good fit in this and
32:57 and rightly so I mean imagine how many times we wake up in the middle of the night to fix
33:02 something and that's because when a site is down and then all the night we have
33:05 to go fix it because it's a real-time right we can't wait till the morning
33:09 not okay that's supposed to invoicing software where it could wait till the
33:12 morning it's not ideal but you can you can send that invoice out in a day it's
33:16 okay doesn't be today and that's terrific that's what you want you don't
33:19 want to get up in the night that was a mistake you don't want to do that so
33:24 anything that's sort of decision support for a business so right analytics and
33:28 metrics and monitoring all these kind of things are almost never real-time in
33:33 their nature and and/or they make the data might be but the availability
33:36 doesn't necessarily need to be which is kind of more to the point another
33:40 example is again anything in finance because there's always lots of buffer
33:43 around when the finance folks have to do their various things and so you have
33:49 time project management's another random just just another random example these
33:52 are obviously far from exhaustive these just sort of the you know getting your
33:55 juices flowing project management again like if my if Trello isn't available for an hour that
34:02 does suck no doubt about it like I saw several Trello board so I was walking
34:05 around so for sure that's that's something but you're not gonna cancel
34:09 you're not gonna go in that case I'm gonna completely switch to different
34:11 problems just not gonna happen because it's okay anything that's content is
34:16 obviously something that's easy and content also is super easy to make
34:20 highly available anyway you put our an s3 finished right or something like that
34:25 like contents easy to make always available anyhow in it and anyway if
34:30 it's not available it's okay another market kind of market I don't like is
34:34 marketplaces this is where I have buyers and sellers and I bring them together so
34:39 that they have a marketplace of fun Etsy is a marketplace Kickstarter is a
34:44 marketplace eBay is sort of the quintessential it you know big
34:48 marketplace play Amazon oddly enough is kind of a marketplace and that they're
34:53 they're you know Amazon doesn't make any products okay now they make a few but in
34:56 general they don't right they just get consumers to a website and get
34:58 products and sell it that's a marketplace and the reason I don't like
35:01 it again marketplace is very difficult to build almost never work because you kind
35:07 of have two businesses you have the business of getting the sellers to get
35:11 over here and put your products here and use my method of payment and God knows
35:14 what else it is and you have to go do that and pull them over and you have no
35:18 buyers you have to do that with and you need two buyers you need to convince
35:21 them and advertise them whatever the hell you do to get them over here and
35:24 you don't have sellers yet see this chicken and egg kind of to business
35:28 Janus sort of thing going on it's hard and the good news is if you're
35:32 successful it's very defensible we were talking about this last night but
35:36 supposing Etsy right now open source their whole environment so can you go
35:40 compete with Etsy no because people type Etsy calm that is actually their asset
35:45 asset the fact that someone types at sea calm the fact that someone types evades
35:48 fact that some of the types Kickstarter is in fact the valuable asset of a
35:52 company not the code behind it right so that's cool it's great but again for a
35:56 self-funded startup I feel like two companies are have a much much lower
36:00 risk of succeeding than one you know two that have to both be successful in a way
36:03 and it's just hard so I don't I don't like it a market I do like going back
36:10 again is something that can be done and I think there's a ton of kinds of things
36:13 that can be done but what I mean is you don't want to be in a feature war with
36:17 another product where where your success is tied to things like oh they have more
36:21 features than I just have to keep writing because by your very nature you
36:24 don't have many developers and you don't as many resources in general your
36:28 designers aren't as good whatever by its very nature so why would you compete in
36:32 a space in which lots of features is it is is a differentiator when that's not a
36:36 kind of a thing that you're gonna have as a unique differentiator nico mac the
36:41 guy that made winzip with made a million dollars a year in the 90s with shareware
36:46 and winzip was done right I mean sure there was like WinZip nine and who even
36:49 knows what it did nothing right it's it's winzip and most of us stolen anyhow
36:52 and he still made a million dollars a year way back when that was actually
36:55 pretty hard and you were mailing postcards with checks and stuff for the
36:58 shareware remember that beer ware and all that um but that's what I mean a
37:03 product that can be done not that you never work on it again of course that's
37:06 not really the case but it can be done and there's a ton of kinds of products
37:09 like that I like that another thing I like is an aftermarket
37:13 by which I mean there's already an established incumbent product that has a
37:19 lot of following and you can tack onto the end of it and so some examples right
37:23 here smart fair was like that so you already have version control and now you
37:26 have code review so we integrated with perforce and subversion and CVS and in
37:31 fact a dozen different things balsamiq mockups started as add-ons to Basecamp
37:34 and so on woo themes obviously is is themes on the platform of WordPress the
37:39 current company is based on the fact that WordPress has a huge following and
37:42 they need a host somewhere that's an often after market service for WordPress
37:47 alien skin is a company that's that kind of well known for being around for over
37:50 a decade meaning making tons of money bootstrapped and they make photoshop
37:55 plugins cool photoshop plugins they don't make Photoshop they just make cool
37:59 plugins afterwards queue ODBC is a company's been around since 1984 let me
38:02 say that again and they're bootstrapped and all they do is sell this product that takes a
38:10 QuickBooks file and puts an ODBC interface on it so you can make database
38:13 queries against it pretty cool aftermarket tool for QuickBooks so um
38:20 this is what I mean it so much is it's easy to understand like this is the
38:23 product this is exactly how it works these are the pain points a lot of
38:26 people with this product have this pain point I know how to find those customers
38:29 because they use this particular product so the keywords are obvious many times
38:34 the vendors are interested in supporting you I gave a talk at the perforce that's
38:38 version control the perforce user conference every year about code review
38:41 because we were an aftermarket tool on perforce and we promoted perforce as
38:46 well um as a result just there was no agreement we didn't change money we just
38:50 did because perforce was good and so our tool worked well with it and so I got
38:53 customers all the time by being invited to their user conference and to give a
38:58 talk which is bizarre because they wanted to support it so even better are
39:02 the are the companies or what I would say ecosystems meaning companies that
39:07 intentionally go make this after market market and like Salesforce you can
39:12 there's literally s force com where they help you make a product that you can
39:17 then sell the Salesforce customers and Heroku does that with their plug-in
39:19 store and the Apple App Store is really the same thing for the device you're an
39:22 aftermarket for the device right now some of these ecosystems are more friendly than others
39:27 like the App Store is well known for you know not approving the app or maybe
39:31 competing with you eventually so that one's a little bit trickier I mean not
39:34 to say that means you shouldn't do it but it's a you know you have to look at
39:37 that risk but then you look at these ecosystems like Salesforce and Heroku
39:40 and it's very clear that they are committed to not doing that to you
39:45 and so like Salesforce people complain like they haven't added features in
39:49 years that's exactly right because they want other people to make money adding
39:52 features because that's part of their ecosystem and they know that's part of
39:55 what makes them strong and they act that way and so as Heroku that's good
39:59 that's the kind of ecosystem that's I love because look it's a marketing
40:03 channel sales channel a pricing channel like there's all kinds of stuff that you
40:07 sort of get built-in when it's like that and I love built-in and the last thing
40:12 about market I want to talk about is I think you should be in a big market and
40:13 Market Size: Big
40:15 this is typically something that a VC you would tell you right you want to be
40:19 in a big market with lots where people are spending billions of dollars and why
40:22 does a VC want that well because if you see wants you to be worth a billion
40:26 dollars and that's not possible unless people are spending billion dollars or
40:30 maybe you're making up a new market that you think is gonna be worth a billion
40:33 dollars so that's why they care we don't care about that at all but I still think
40:36 it you should be a big market because first of all there's lots of niches that
40:42 you can be in so you've sliced out this little customer segment of ok only
40:46 people from Wichita Falls who invoice to other states with sales tax then we're
40:48 going to nail it and there's 462 of them and we can find them because it's Wichita Falls is how
40:54 we can just walk around and find them and actually that's a pretty good idea
40:57 that's pretty good place to get started and then you can get bigger right so
41:01 that's good except the problem with a small market is that if that little
41:04 niche doesn't work there may not be another thing to go do that's of any
41:08 interesting size and so your options are limited and that's bad because obviously
41:12 at the front and even in the middle of the business you're never sure exactly
41:16 what's going to work out and what's next and all that kind of stuff a big market
41:19 has lots of playground lots of niches that you could if this fails you're here
41:23 if this is successful you could expand to there whatever you have optionality
41:28 and optionality is always power the other thing is your product doesn't have
41:31 to be the number one best thing ever for anything how many CRM tools are there how many
41:35 project management tools there how many time keepers software out
41:38 there how many invoice packages are there like hundreds that are in each
41:43 category maybe more and not everyone's making a bunch of money but actually a
41:46 lot of people are making enough money and that's interesting in a big market
41:51 there's so much space the it's okay if it's not the number one best thing for
41:54 everything you can still have a business and that's good and not necessarily true
41:58 in a smaller market and of course just the fact that it's big and people are
42:01 spending billions of dollars means there is a market at all and like Heaton again
42:06 said earlier a many perhaps most companies fail because they're not
42:08 building something where there is a pain that people will pay for that you can
42:13 get to all this other stuff but in a huge market there is a pain and people
42:16 are spending money and you probably can't get to it right it validates that
42:19 off the bat and that's a huge thing and it's easy to find those customers and if
42:24 you change your mind as I did with WP engine and decided to change it from a
42:28 cash machine to screw it I want to swing for the fences if been in a big market
42:32 you still have that option that's all options good so the third
42:38 thing I want to get through is um how do you acquire customers right so we talked
42:42 about charge a lot of money and how and kinds of markets I like you don't like
42:47 and now what about getting customers so probably the most controversial thing
42:51 Adverts Social Media
42:51 out I will state is that I do not like social media in any form for getting
42:54 customers I don't think it works very well I think it's a lot of time I think
42:58 people don't acknowledge how much time and and cost it actually is and I don't
43:03 think it it often does not result in a repeatable business where it's a cash
43:07 machine and every month it does it and every month you can acquire customers
43:10 I want to business where I can put in a dollar and no I'll make four dollars
43:13 this year or maybe even now cuz I've annual prepay right that's what I want
43:17 and in social media does not give that to me it's ever-changing it's hard to
43:21 have a voice it's hard to do stuff I have a blog with 40 thousand readers and
43:27 when I launch WP engine a blogging platform I was sure I'd get maybe 30 50
43:31 new customers just out of people going Oh Jason's doing that I'm gonna switch
43:34 to that and see what it is right that's maybe that's egotistical well it
43:38 definitely is egotistical but that's what I wanted to do so I did and I got
43:45 two signups this many out of tens of thousands of readers and actually I
43:48 asked heating on my heating your really huh your internet-famous and you
43:52 launched these little companies and see them with your stuff what the hell am i
43:55 doing wrong means he just goes no it's always like that it doesn't work move on
44:02 just like that but great the you know so of course you can say well what about
44:05 buffer those guys are really good at social media yes yes yes you know of
44:08 course it can be successful especially if you're really good at it and spend
44:12 tons of time on it as they do yes of course but in general I don't like that
44:15 I want I want to know I spend money and make money that's what I want
44:18 and so since that's the model I like that it's it's very important that you
44:21 know how much you're gonna you're gonna pay per click that could be Adwords or
44:25 anything else but one way or another you're paying for a visit to the website
44:29 that's how most online marketing stuff can be boiled down to one way or another
44:32 so it's a good question how much should I pay per click so this is my answer
44:38 which is sort of needs justification my answer is that you can you take how much
44:42 average revenue you get per customer divided by 25 and that's what you can
44:46 pay per click so if your average $50 a month in revenue you pay $2 a click now
44:50 obviously it's like a ton of assumptions and going on in here I like this is
44:54 not what is this so however I didn't want to spend more time here going
44:57 through the math and stuff and besides you might want to tweak my assumptions
45:00 and my numbers come up with your own sort of better formula for you so I put
45:04 up a blog post which I hope is there maybe someone can check and make sure it
45:07 really went up because I didn't oh it is great um and it has the whole derivation of
45:11 this and blah blah so I'll just move on and let you look at that if you care but
45:15 the point is you know obviously this needs to be a data-driven thing what's
45:18 my conversion rate how much you know what's the quality of the traffic
45:22 segment by by market like there's a landing page optimization like there's a
45:25 million empirical data points you would actually do to compute this but of course you
45:30 don't have any of those data points and even if you have a couple hundred
45:33 customers you don't have enough data for that to be statistically significant
45:35 anyway so you still need a rule of thumb and so that there it is so now the bad
45:48 news so let's say all of this works you create this little company and you have
45:53 no employees are just a few employees you actually like working with and it's
45:59 chunking out 30 40 K a month in profit maybe that'd be nice and everything's going well what happens
46:08 next it keeps growing that's what it does that's what companies that are
46:15 successful do they don't stop and so if it keeps growing and you don't hire
46:19 people to work on support then you're gonna give bad customer support is that
46:23 okay is that all right for you is that the kind of company you wanted to build
46:28 that you enjoy working on and do you hire more people and if you do what does
46:32 that mean in terms of your job and you used to just worry about looking after
46:36 marketing or just looking after the code but now you're managing people now it
46:39 becomes a thing that wasn't the thing that you wanted to become that you
46:44 didn't set out for and so this is this is kind of an issue and so so what some
46:45 To what end?
46:47 people do there's various ways kind of out of this you know you can you can
46:51 just sell the company for two big who's the guy that has the the that that book
46:55 about selling your company where's where is he selling your company online
47:01 yeah websites area so you go talk to that guy about selling your website
47:04 online and it'll help you cuz he has a book about so hooray but it's hard
47:09 obviously to sell that's easier said than done and usually don't get that
47:12 much money for it sometimes you sell it if you have a partner if you have an
47:14 employee sometimes you can sell to them a nice trick there is a lot of times
47:18 people don't have like a bunch of cash to give you and so you do some kind of
47:21 earn out like you're gonna get five or ten grand a month or a percentage of
47:26 revenue for three years and in that way the company can afford to pay you off
47:29 while you go off and that's not such a bad thing but of course you also don't
47:33 have your company anymore this is how this is what happened to my
47:39 second company IT watchdogs we were I guess I'm probably running low on time
47:45 right Rob how am i doing that time okay so um so we we had we had we had built
47:51 this amazing device for a customer of ours on a contract basis and it was
47:57 wildly successful to them they were immediately making millions of dollars
48:01 more money per year with this thing that was embedded in their stuff and I
48:04 remember we were sitting there in their conference room in Lincoln Nebraska and
48:09 they and they said hey what's stopping you from building the same product and
48:12 selling it to the other hundred power strip manufacturers and we thought we said nothing I guess
48:18 we don't have an exclusive so yeah that's not a bad idea it's a four months
48:26 later they bought the company that's it so it happens of course but again it's
48:29 hard to it's hard to like make that happen or plan for that common thing
48:35 people say is raise prices I mean shoot if you don't want more customers and
48:38 make each of the customers pay more this is good and that's true but they're you
48:42 know it does also change the nature of the business so this conference is a
48:45 good example this year was more expensive than last year and so some
48:48 people that were a little more of a wanna preneur and not really you know
48:52 not really that serious just sort of snooping around you charge more and some
48:55 of them will drop off and that was something that was useful for the
48:58 conference but if this conference retained grand like almost no one could
49:02 no one almost no one here could or shouldn't show up for that kind of dough
49:06 and who would I don't know but it'd be a different conference whatever that is be
49:10 different so just raising prices also changes the clientele and that may or
49:14 may not be again okay for what you want to do and again you can decide well
49:19 screw this bootstrapping thing I'm gonna I'll go ahead and raise money that's
49:22 fine and that's what we did with WP engine and so that's cool if you decide
49:25 you want to change your journey completely that's fine but if you knew this ahead of time then
49:30 all this bootstrapping was actually a bad idea in other words if you wanted to
49:34 go do you know if that was your goal in the first place then you should have
49:37 just been on that path and optimizing yourself and your time and going to
49:40 market and all that in the first place and not sort of gone too slowly at first
49:45 and then finally decide to accelerate so it's a sub optimization anyway and you
49:48 should have kind of known that ahead of time maybe so this is but this is this is
49:54 this is kind of bad like so what is the answer here I mean I want this little
49:57 company and then if I am successful then it won't be that thing it's just like
50:01 this weird catch-22 and there isn't a great there isn't a great answer
50:05 unfortunately this is one of those dilemmas you know how you know people
50:09 sell their company and then you know Oh boohoo money doesn't make you happy and
50:14 Oh boohoo you don't know what to do next Oh boohoo like you made ten million
50:18 dollars shut up right but actually it's very real and actually you know people's
50:22 happiness some fulfillment is very real and this is this is going to happen in
50:27 some form or fashion to you if you're successful and then it won't feel like you know oh
50:31 that's a high-class problem like yes and it's your problem and so what you can do
50:36 it's hard and so but it's supposed to why like working at IBM we're not doing
50:39 this now it's in our DNA we have to do this so the only thing I can tell you to
50:45 combated is this this guy fail ease was a Greek business man but then he turned
50:50 philosopher which I suppose that's kind of what people who are in tech now do
50:54 right like they get successful business and then they get blogs and right same
50:58 thing anyway so they lease it was asked famously um what is the hardest thing
51:06 and he said to know thyself hardest thing to me that is the sort of answer
51:11 to this dilemma of what is it that I want from this what am I trying to build
51:15 with this company I know trending money yeah I know I don't want to date you up
51:20 right on but what what am I trying to do for me what's gonna be fulfilling for me
51:25 and even that is gonna change over time unfortunately which means you have to
51:28 keep figuring that out and it's the hardest thing oops I thought building the company was the
51:33 hardest thing nope it's this that's the hardest thing and so that's again a very
51:38 difficult message because there's not much of an answer in that other than
51:42 yeah it's really hard no other than maybe talking about it and especially
51:44 talking about it with folks who have trod that path before and maybe doing
51:49 almost therapy with them to do that which I'm happy to do I know lots of
51:53 lots of other other people are very happy to do that sort of thing it's a
51:58 nice conversation to have um the other thing he was asked in that same
52:01 interview was what is the easiest thing and he says to give advice which is what
52:08 I've been doing for an hour so I'm doing the easiest thing by telling you do the
52:11 hardest thing great easy for me to say because then I can just wrap and leave
52:14 and it's up to you to do all the hard stuff and so people ask what's my
52:18 formula for success which is a stupid question but if there is an answer then
52:22 I've just given it to you but as best I can in this past hour which is that you need
52:28 to have predictable acquisition of customers which give you recurring
52:31 revenue that you're using an annual prepaid to solve all your cash flow
52:35 problems with any market that's conducive to the kind of company that
52:38 you're building and the constraints and advantages that you have like being a
52:41 boutique but not not have a million hours a week and that's how
52:46 you create a cash machine I hope everyone here does exactly that and
52:51 thanks for your time you talk a little bit about any advisor tips you have for
52:56 a SAS business that doesn't actually have subscription revenue but rather a
53:03 transactional revenue it's a b2b model acquisition is more traditional sales
53:10 with potentially larger revenue per customer but much of what I see and read
53:16 about in SAS is focused on you know getting business through clicks and and
53:21 writing the enterprise sales yeah an enterprise SAS company in particular
53:25 okay great yes so first of all you said it's not recurring yes it is it's an
53:29 annual contract mostly in enterprise right maybe quarterly but usually can do
53:32 annual and that's good because that's the annual prepay too and you can do
53:35 that in enterprise because their budgets are typically annual as well so they
53:38 could care less and of course it's easier to do one P o and one invoice per
53:41 year and do that with some kind of automatic renewal that they have to
53:44 contact you if they don't want that kind of thing right um obviously you gotta
53:48 charge a lot a lot and there's gonna be you know you have to deal with M SAS and
53:52 all kinds of stuff there the purchase orders gonna take forever to pay and all
53:55 that the other day we got a purchase order with net 130 on it okay well so so
54:04 actually that that's you know rough in that in that sense so um so obviously
54:10 you have a sales office often have a sales force model with that but to be
54:13 clear at smartbear it was almost all enterprise sales and there was no
54:18 salespeople and the way it worked as I did all the demos and I went on the
54:22 sales calls and everybody who was back at the office was competent in doing all
54:26 of those things and then when I had to hire really competent people because
54:29 they had to be able to write code and talk to customers and do tech support
54:32 and after sales questions which means they had to be really smart and
54:35 multi-talented and they were expensive but I also had a million dollars of
54:39 revenue per head because they were really good and so we could be really
54:43 lean not in the lean startup sense I suppose but in the not spending a lot of
54:47 money sense and so I could distribute the money to them instead which is great
54:51 so that's an example of a bootstrap company in the enterprise space where
54:54 you have terrific folks all around so you don't go haier haier out and build out a big
54:59 enterprise sales team you can do that of course um it's much harder to it to me
55:04 to bootstrap that exactly because of this time lag and money because to go
55:08 get them still you have to do cold calls or some other kind of outreach or some
55:13 conferences or put white papers on stuff and the sales cycle is often very long
55:17 especially because you catch them maybe in a discovery phase and they're not yet
55:20 ready to buy and they're not ready to select you and then the lawyers get
55:25 involved and it just takes a long time and all that cost you're eating and
55:28 humans and time before you get the purchase order and then still they don't
55:31 want to pay and then it'll go out in the next check run and you know it can be a
55:35 long time before you get the dough the good news of course is once you get it
55:37 you often keep those things for five years it was fantastic right but you got to
55:42 charge the Lots to sort of get over the hump of all that other stuff if you do
55:47 hire salespeople you got to go to you often will have to go to more of a like
55:51 Commission only but lots of commission model because you don't have the cash to
55:55 float you know a great sales guy for their you know one hundred hundred or
55:57 one fifty one fifty sort of a compensation model that they might be
56:01 expecting you can't say you just have to say well I hope you dragon a lot of
56:05 sailfish and then you can eat a lot I don't know right so that's hard to get
56:08 going so it is harder because of these constraints which aren't necessarily you
56:14 know working but um but you can do it I did it um the pilots are another good trick so
56:19 you say why don't we start with it often they want to do pilots anyway depending
56:21 on the product but let's just try it with thirty seats see how that goes
56:25 maybe you can turn that around a lot faster with a smaller budget and um and
56:29 then you get some cash flow going and some relationship going and then go many
56:33 of the transactions we did were like that our average transaction was twelve
56:37 thousand dollars but on the first transaction but our average total
56:40 transaction was sixty thousand because over time they'd buy more sometimes even
56:45 six and seven figures over the course of you know year and a half or so
56:48 and so that kind of like get in there and then go get more which sales people
56:52 call land and expand is not a bad model either and helps you get a little more
56:55 cash flow I mean this is a whole topic really so I hope some of that helps or
57:00 answered your question I know I know a lot of I'm coders that have products don't
57:07 necessarily take advantage of affiliate programs how do you feel about that um I
57:13 think there's a lot of products for which affiliate programs are great not
57:18 Enterprise but um we do pretty well with affiliates and at first we did not we
57:21 didn't do a good job when we first launched them and then we relaunched it
57:25 with ShareASale and we kind of did a better job and in reaching out
57:30 personally to affiliates and especially some of the larger ones and so on to try
57:33 to make it work giving them special coupons much like the ones I just said
57:39 those but I really like it and if you're gonna do affiliates I think first of all
57:42 you need it you need to pay the affiliate a lot because they encourage
57:45 them to do it and especially the bigger affiliates do get paid a lot and so you
57:48 won't get their attention unless you're spending a lot of money with them at the
57:51 same time that's a big cash flow thing because they get their money quickly
57:55 like typically in 45 days so if you're paying an affiliate two hundred three
57:59 hundred dollars there's a lot I mean most affiliate programs are more like 30
58:01 bucks and that's fine but you won't get a lot of attention but if you're
58:05 charging a lot of money then you can pay the affiliate a lot see isn't that
58:08 better to charge a lot of money it opens up options but also you need that annual
58:12 prepay because it's so much money that you're paying so quickly to them and so
58:16 again I would couple that with special coupons for them to encourage the annual
58:20 and then you're back to good from a cash flow perspective but in general I do
58:24 think it depends on the business there are things like the one we're in and
58:28 hosting or in WordPress where the a ton of companies who make a lot of money
58:31 through affiliate sales so it sort of stands to reason that we could - and
58:36 there's other areas where it's not true and so you'll just have to see but
58:39 certainly the affiliate doesn't get paid unless you know they say you get a sale
58:42 so it seems to me you could certainly make the math work and then either the
58:46 affiliate program will work or it won't and either you'll get better at it or
58:49 not but either way you're not gonna pay them till you get a sale so it's pretty
58:52 easy to make sure that equation works and then you know then give it a try but
58:57 if it does work it's incredibly powerful you want to talk about predictable
59:01 because those affiliates it's their job to get more money every month right so
59:05 you have these people who themselves it's it's in their interest to try to
59:10 send you new customers every month and that's great that's that's exactly the
59:13 kind of predictable cash machine that you want so in that sense I really like
59:16 affiliate sales and one final note of fear on that is there's a lot of shady affiliates and if
59:22 you ever go to Affiliate conference you kind of feel like you need to take a
59:27 bath afterwards uh-huh there it's a lot of them are are shady and so also you'll
59:30 get people if you're not if you're not controlling who actually is able to do
59:35 the affiliate program and kind of vetting them you'll be spread all kinds
59:38 of stuff that probably is not good for your brand or even for sales or any of
59:43 those things and so you may or may not care about that I mean may or may not be
59:46 interesting to us and it worked WP engine we care about our reputation
59:50 quite a lot we trade on that reputation of service and attitude and all that
59:54 kind of stuff and so it's important to us that that not be the case we even
59:59 don't do certain SEO things even stuff that's kind of gray hat just because
60:02 what if that kind of looked bad so because we value that we are careful
60:07 about affiliates but you may or may not care and we know one thing that you
60:14 regret doing or perhaps we're not doing on your business journey man all kinds
60:21 of stuff all of the time I think you're doing or not doing I mean anybody that
60:30 looks back over you know a year and can't and says like everything was
60:35 perfect I didn't make any mistakes you know not true I guess one thing I
60:44 would say is if I look at a pattern that I keep repeating that I have to be
60:47 careful about so the things I'm not really learning about and therefore I
60:51 really regret it because if you make that mistake the first time you can't
60:53 really regret it you say I made the best choice I could at the time and let's
60:57 move on right but if you make it repeatedly then maybe you start
60:59 regretting that you're not getting better at it I guess two things there
61:04 one is not getting rid of someone fast enough that needed to go almost always
61:10 culturally based very rare that it's skills based it's usually cultural based
61:13 because people do poison that well and that could just be a consultant it could
61:16 be employee it could be any of those kinds of things but that's really
61:21 important and no one ever says well we fired that person too quickly no one
61:26 ever says that but everyone has a story of when they didn't fire someone soon
61:28 enough so that's a mistake that I probably continue to make um and it's a constant
61:35 thing and again even if you don't have employees that could be true of a
61:38 consultant that you kind of feel may be taking advantage of you or isn't really
61:41 working out but you're sort of well but they're engaged so I'll just like
61:45 there's there's lots of examples of that kind of thing I regret not staying true
61:51 to what I felt was the right thing to do and that's in lots of different
61:53 situations um yeah like the affiliates a weirdo feel like I'm kind of I'm kind of skeevy
62:01 about having this person promoting my thing should I do that or not and to me
62:06 especially when you're building a self-funded company in which your
62:09 identity is so tied up in the company itself I always regret not following
62:14 what I think is the right thing how to treat people how to treat people coming
62:20 in coming out um the standards that you set up inside the company for yourself
62:23 the customers for the product for other people that you work with for hearing
62:28 something that someone says and not like and not kind of standing up for it and
62:32 saying no that's not acceptable here it's not it's not funny it's not okay
62:37 not doing that often enough the all kinds of things like that of I know I
62:42 feel right now this is wrong and I'm not acting strong enough to in to make this
62:48 known to everyone and to say no this is what I'm building this is what we're
62:52 doing this is who we are I always regret not doing that after the fact so you
62:57 mentioned earlier about the little formula of calculating your how much you
63:02 can afford per click so I noticed that was like a $2 $2 per click right so I'm
63:08 curious for wpengine or are you actually being able to get that sort of cost per
63:12 click or what are you doing no we can spend even more so again the real answer
63:17 there is you measure everything all throughout the funnel and you can
63:22 segment you segment out the cost to acquire a customer by by the marketing
63:26 channel and was that there was an affiliate there was a sales assisted was
63:30 your a coupon because that makes it cost more and that the customer stick around
63:33 or did they cancel and we even measure stuff like and how much server costs are
63:36 they costing how much support costs I think we have all of that and so for
63:40 every customer we have all of that is we have all this analysis that's very
63:44 detailed and per philia and per channel and jiù jiù jiù jiù right um and so
63:49 we're very precise about how the marketing campaigns are working what's
63:52 the payback period and so on that is the correct thing to do but you know we have
63:57 you know we sign we're in the four figures of new customers per month so we
64:02 have a lot of data right so we can do all that statistically and actually have
64:06 something also since we're shooting the moon now also we're willing to spend
64:11 even more money than there might be you know then you might think in order to
64:15 get customers and so we're that's even more because we just want the customers
64:18 because we know what to do with them and that's valuable to us another thing is
64:22 we are so good at word-of-mouth and social media and the consultant channel
64:27 that most of our new signups are actually without advertising at all but
64:31 what that means is we can spend that much more acquiring through advertising
64:35 because on average it's still very cheap and so we can afford against it so even
64:40 if we lose some money on some things just the fact that we have the customer
64:43 they might tell a friend they might upgrade later and so on just
64:48 having a customer is it has a value and financial value even over time even if
64:52 it's a little more difficult to measure all of that value it is true and so we
64:56 can spend even more so we measure all this and we do it absolutely empirically
65:00 so that we know that and so with that we're pointing out is until you are
65:03 signing up a thousand people a month and are measuring all this stuff even if you
65:06 are measuring it you still don't have enough data to really say and things are
65:10 gonna fluctuate a lot week to week month to month and so on and so until you have
65:15 enough data to actually use data I had this sort of assumptions in process
65:19 which actually came from other surveys and other things so that these
65:24 assumptions themselves seem correct in the main and and and so so I that's why
65:29 I like that formula but it's only because without data you have to have
65:31 some rule of thumb and this is my best effort at providing anyone with one that